Trading plan for Sept. 17, 2015

 

150916-ES-daily

ESZ5 Daily chart

The ES broke the descending triangle pattern on the daily chart and made it quite clear the Bulls are in the driver’s seat, at least for now. The price action has been bullish for the past several days – up about 60 points in the last two days – and there is little doubt the market will try to move up to retest the several breakdown levels (2030-2050-2065) resting above the current price.

But this is quadruple witching expiration week, there is a bunch of economic reports being released, and the FOMC meeting might result in the first interest rate increase in nine years. The market may be misinterpreting the Fed’s intentions.

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Download the full trading plan here: 150917-plan

Today there is the FOMC minutes and the Fed Chair;s press conference in the afternoon. We don’t want to predict which direction ES will go after that. The algos can make anything happen in times of confusion.

We will stay on the sidelines and see how price reacts at both 1950 and 2000 today.

Outlook

Short-term === Bullish
MEDIUM TERM === Neutral
LONG-TERM === Bullish

Support and resistance

The major support levels: 1950-45, 1900-03.50, 1975-80, 1850-45
the major resistance levels: 1998.75-95.50, 2012.50-2013.50 2032-2035

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